FDU Poll Finds 57 Percent of Non-Retirees Plan to Leave NJ

A new polls shows where New Jersey stands when it comes to congressional politics and FDU PublicMind Poll Executive Director Krista Jenkins told NJTV News Managing Editor Mike Schneider that a poll showed that 57 percent of people polled said they would not stay in New Jersey after they retire because of high property taxes and affordability.

One of the findings in the poll was that a plurality of New Jerseyans identify with the Democratic party, about 43 percent. Jenkins said that even though in a heavily Democratic state, people may think that 43 percent for Democrats might not be as good as expected but that is better than in 2010 when there was a plurality of people supporting Republican candidates in 2010. So she said it is a change but still what would be expected in a heavily Democratic state.

She said that anytime you talk about a mid-term election, you talk about the context. She said that very well could be one of the reasons that we are seeing more people siding with the Democrats than Republicans this term. She said that it also could be that people are having buyers remorse having voted overwhelmingly for a gubernatorial candidate. She said that she thinks the Republicans nationally have gone in a more conservative direction.

Jenkins said that the incumbency rate continues to be staggering, given the unease people have seemed to express towards Congress in general.

Jenkins said that polarization is worse then it has been in a generation or so. She said the polarization is seen everywhere and she thinks it is actually muted a bit in New Jersey because of the more moderate tenancies.

When asked what type of polarization she is referring to, Jenkins said that differences will always be found within parties. She said that there are Democrats who don’t agree with other Democrats and the same goes for Republicans. She said when she is talking about polarization, she is talking about more ideological polarization, such as social issues. She said it can be a variety of things and it depends on how the data is parsed. She said that people do not see the world the same way and part of that is the fact that now people can tune into media sources that really do basically confirm their world view and are not really challenged all that often.

Another poll that was done is a poll on people who want to get out of the state when they retire. She said that she asked non-retirees what their plans are for when they retire and it was found by a sizable margin that people say they will leave New Jersey once they retire. She said that when asked why, people said the most given reason is the affordability and high property taxes in the state. She said that they can’t afford to stay so many of them say that they are leaving the state to head south where there are lower property taxes and a lower cost of living.

She said that it was a majority of people who said they would leave New Jersey when they retire. She said that it was about 57 percent. She said this is the first time that poll has been done so it is not known how many of the people actually did leave after retiring. She said that she will do another poll on retirees next year to see if there is any kind of change, to see if it was context or weather dependent.

She said that it is interesting that even among the younger crowd, people who are 40 and under, who have longer to plan and to save, still were saying in very high numbers that they think they would leave the state when they retire. She said those people may be aware of the finical reality and they are looking ahead with some degree of pessimism or they are hearing what their parents or grandparents have said about retiring in this state.