By Meteorologist John Cifelli
We’re past the halfway point of January and meteorological winter, without a whole lot of snowfall to show for it! Compared to recent seasons in past years, New Jersey is “running cold,” with plenty of arctic air in place, but a frustrating inability to translate that to snowfall. Is my unabashed love for winter weather showing? Valentine’s Day must be near.
Our next shot for snow comes Wednesday, as a clipper system develops through the Ohio Valley before skirting past southern New Jersey. This weak area of low pressure will bring light snow to most of New Jersey, with a rain/snow mix to southern areas and the southern coast. There’s enough moisture with this one to say that plowable snowfall looks likely for some, although the track and timing are not yet in focus.
For now, clouds to start the day on Wednesday will eventually produce a swath of precipitation from west to east in the afternoon. The evening commute home looks messy. A general 1-3 inches looks about right, with more south and less north. Heaviest snow will be north of the rain/snow transition line, where the air mass supports snow the entire time while experiencing the best dynamics that the storm will have to offer.
As the night goes on, snow will taper to flurries and will be well wrapped up by Thursday morning. Plan on giving yourself a little extra time to clear off the car, and take it slow as back roads will be white until the sun has some time to melt them. The rest of the week looks seasonably cold and relatively quiet, with perhaps a coastal system scraping Cape May and the far southeast coast at some point over the weekend.