By Meteorologist John Cifelli
For snowfall accumulations today, it’s all about that rate. No puddles. Light snow has spread from southern New Jersey through the Route 202 corridor, and will progress across northern New Jersey and New York City in the coming hour or two. Already some of the reports in southern New Jersey may be hinting at what will occur around the rest of the state, as lawns are whitening up, but roads are wet.
If precipitation rates were expected to remain this light, it’d be an easy forecast. They aren’t however, so it isn’t. Dry air has fought against steadier snow thus far and dew points are still in the single digits north of Route 78. As the lower levels of the atmosphere moisten up, the odds of heavier snow bands pressing into New Jersey becomes likely, particularly from 78 to 195. Short term model guidance is pretty enthusiastic about developing a stripe of heavier precipitation in central New Jersey between 2 and 5 p.m., so that is the best chance for deteriorating roadways. If you can leave work early today and you are between northern Burlington/Ocean and Route 78, it’d be best to do so. Roads will deteriorate when and where that heavy snow falls.
Steady snow wraps up by 8 p.m., a little later at the shore. Some lingering snow showers or drizzle may fall thereafter, but the higher impact weather will be over tonight.
Latest expected totals:
95 and 195 corridors, including Philadelphia and New York City, northern Monmouth and all points north — 2-5 inches
Higher elevations (above 500 feet) in Hunterdon, Warren, Morris and Somerset counties — 3-6 inches
North of the Expressway, and up to the 95/195 area — 1-3 inches
A coating in some places further south, although we’ve already switched to plain rain in Cape May.
Look on the bright side, there’s free Rita’s water ice today!